Which direction now?

With markets continuing their see-saw pattern, which direction now? Last week saw a generally flat Dow after Monday’s gains, ending the week at 25,871.46, up 265.92 for the week (1.0%). There are myriad potential movers for the markets going forward, including rising Covid cases in nearly two dozen states, reopening the economy broadly now, potential further Congressional stimulus action, more Fed intervention, and dire fiscal straits for states and municipalities. Will these, on balance, keep the upward trend? Will the interventions peter out before the economy fully has found its footing?

What to make of the markets?

It was not a particularly eventful week for equity markets, and that leaves plenty of opportunity for guessing which direction now? If anything, it seems there is more sentiment on the upside. This seems counterintuitive given the longevity of the bull market and brevity of the coronavirus correction. Here is some good grist for your mill on the topic:

U.S. Midyear Outlook: From recession to recovery

There’s Limited Downside because the Pros have FoMo, So Let’s Look at Some Stocks

The Great Storm of 2020

Here’s Why the Stock Market is About to Collapse

A separate, looming issue to consider

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While we remain unsure which direction now for markets. One thing is certain, there will be meaningful issues at the state and local level as a result of the shutdown. These two articles highlight the problem, which may have broader implications.

The state-budget train crash

Business and home owners frustrated by property tax increase in Nashville

Ever vigilant for opportunities in the turmoil

Even in this still heated market, there are opportunities, regardless which direction now. They key is to ferret out, understand and act on the best ones. Each week we’ll share some new ideas.

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